Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

⚡ Charged Alpha — The S&P 500 Stock Encyclopedia Data-driven deep dives into every stock in the S&P 500 after every earnings report. Each episode breaks down one company from open to close: what they do, how the numbers look, what Wall Street thinks, the bull case, the bear case. 🛠️ Check out our free beginner-friendly screening tools for stocks, ETFs, options, crypto, bonds, REITs & more at https://chargedalpha.com — no signup, no paywall. 📊 What you get in every episode: Company overview & competitive moat Full financial breakdown — valuation, revenue, margins, cash flow Analyst consensus & price targets Bull case vs. bear case Peer comparison, options flow & insider activity Key metrics to watch ⚠️ Not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Episodes are researched, written, and produced using AI-assisted tools. All data aggregated from publicly available sources. #stocks #investing #S&P500 #stockanalysis #chargedalpha #financialdata #earningsreport #earnings

Episodes

Sep 22, 2026

12 min

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Q4 FY2026 — The reference is the September 21 close of $2,803.25, before this earnings release; no verified post-print move is asserted.
AutoZone’s gross margin rebounded, but tariff refunds and the comparative LIFO benefit explain more than the entire improvement. Commercial growth remains strong while inventory and investment absorb cash.
THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$2800.00 vs ~$2803.25 at the September 21 pre-release close.
KEY METRICS:
- Q4 revenue $6,594.879M, up 5.64%
- GAAP diluted EPS $56.05 versus $48.71
- Gross margin +182 bp includes tariff +145 bp and LIFO comparison +105 bp
- FY2026 operating cash $3,302.846M less capex $1,496.255M = FCF $1,806.591M
- Inventory grew 10.1%; domestic same-store sales grew 1.6%
What to watch: Domestic same-store sales above 3%, commercial weekly sales per program above $19K, and inventory growth converging toward sales; review by December 31, 2026.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/azo-q4-fy2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 22, 2026

12 min

Sep 22, 2026

14 min

THOR Industries (THO) Q4 FY2026 — The valuation uses the September 21 pre-print close of $69.94; no post-print reaction is asserted.
THOR promises over $100M of annual earnings improvement once its initiatives are fully implemented. Meanwhile, FY2026 free cash flow fell to $168.8M and dividends plus buybacks ran ahead of it. Can the savings become cash without a retail rebound?
THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$70.00 vs ~$69.94 at the September 21 pre-print close.
KEY METRICS:
- Q4 revenue $2,311.628M, down 8.4% YoY
- Q4 gross margin 12.4%, down 230 bps
- Q4 diluted EPS $0.78 vs $2.36
- FY2026 FCF $168.836M = OCF $321.223M less capex $152.387M
- July 31 gross debt less cash $393.780M
- Ultimate $100M+ annual earnings improvement has unquantified timing
What to watch: North American gross margin above 10%, FCF trajectory toward $250M+, and a dated net-savings bridge.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/tho-q4-fy2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 22, 2026

14 min

Sep 21, 2026

14 min

AnaptysBio, Inc. (ANAB) Q2 2026 — September 21 close $54.99, down 0.39%; the release-session label is unverified, so this is not necessarily a clean post-print reaction baseline.
Anaptys reported $5.11 of Q2 diluted EPS, but a $181.491M tax benefit drove the profit. The real value remains the post-Sagard Jemperli royalty stream, under an agreement now in unresolved litigation.
THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$58.00 vs ~$54.99 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Q2 collaboration revenue $27.488M, +23.5% YoY
- H1 Jemperli global sales $644.1M, +30.3% YoY
- Q2 pretax loss $4.174M before $181.491M tax benefit
- June cash + investments $164.143M
- Sagard earned about $302.5M through June
- GSK/Tesaro hearing scheduled October 20, 2026
- HOLD 3/5; $58 base / $55.50 weighted / $25–$95 scenarios
What to watch: Read the actual litigation order, grade AZUR-1 and Quimilza decisions, and track Sagard paydown against H2 2027.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/anab-q2-2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 21, 2026

14 min

Sep 21, 2026

14 min

Abivax S.A. (ABVX) Q2 2026 — September 21 saved close $103.45, down 1.51% from $105.04. SEC acceptance metadata and the issuer release dateline conflict, so no reaction baseline is claimed.
Abivax now has funding into Q4 2029 and a planned obefazimod NDA, but nearly $8.6B of diluted value above capital leaves little room for execution mistakes.
THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MEDIUM) — base-case value ~$110.00 vs ~$103.45 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Q2 net loss €117.433M; H1 operating outflow €102.509M
- June liquidity €402.4M; July net proceeds €767.1M
- Management runway into Q4 2029
- Post-offer ordinary shares 87.177M; diluted 95.449M
- Planned UC NDA by end-2026; Crohn’s topline mid-2027
- HOLD 3/5; $110 base / $112.50 weighted / $45–$185 cases
What to watch: Submit the UC NDA by year-end, maintain the Q4 2029 runway, control burn, deliver mid-2027 Crohn’s data and explicitly remediate the internal-control weaknesses.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/abvx-q2-2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 21, 2026

14 min

Sep 17, 2026

13 min

Innate Pharma S.A. (IPHA) H1 2026 — September 17 intraday quote $1.855 at 11:50 a.m. EDT, down 7.71% from the $2.01 previous close. Not the final session close.
Innate Pharma closed the Sobi partnership and an equity financing, extending the expected runway. The cash has claims, the shares have new owners, and clinical evidence still determines the value.
THE CALL: HOLD (2/5, LOW) — base-case value ~$1.80 vs ~$1.855 today.
KEY METRICS:
- H1 combined income €5.663M; licensing €3.115M
- IFRS net loss €19.623M; operating outflow €21.044M
- Sobi $75M upfront triggered; receipt expected
- Equity raise €30M gross / €27.6M estimated net
- Post-placement ordinary shares 111.719M; fully diluted 117.822M
- HOLD 2/5; $1.80 base / $1.75 weighted / $0.40–$4.00 scenarios
What to watch: Confirm the $75M receipt, inspect PACIFIC-9 and IPH4502 data, dose the first TELLOMAK-3 patient by Q1 2027, and track burn plus dilution.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/ipha-h1-2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 17, 2026

13 min

Sep 17, 2026

14 min

Immersion Corporation (IMMR) Q1 FY2027 — FMP September 16 regular close $7.12; financial anchor July 31 and latest common count September 8. Post-release dated observation, not a live quote.
Immersion returned to parent-attributable profit, but investment gains did much of the work. We separate recurring haptic economics, BNED minority ownership and claims against the parent cash balance.
THE CALL: HOLD (2/5, LOW) — base-case value ~$7.50 vs ~$7.12 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Consolidated revenue $294.399M; haptic licensing $3.804M
- Parent GAAP income $4.876M; reported diluted EPS $0.17 uses a $5.752M adjusted numerator
- Equity and derivative gains $13.763M; haptic operating profit $0.306M
- Parent cash $167.000M; all parent liabilities $54.375M including written options $22.674M
- BNED ownership 32.3%; debt nonrecourse to parent; quoted stake valued separately
- HOLD 2/5, Very High uncertainty; base $7.50, scenario weighted $7.35
- Central method range $7–$8; scenario range $5–$10.50
What to watch: Watch parent liquid bridge $147.323 M, written options $22.674 M and haptic EBIT $0.306 M. A conditional entry about $5.63 requires an intact thesis; above $9 prompts a valuation review.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/immr-q1-fy2027
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 17, 2026

14 min

Sep 17, 2026

14 min

Uranium Royalty Corp. (UROY) Q1 FY2027 — September 16 regular-session close: $4.39. Current economic shares include common and exchangeable claims.
Uranium Royalty reported sharply higher earnings while monetizing its remaining physical stockpile. Sweetwater changed the share count, debt and cash priorities, and a $40M bridge must be repaid by January 31, 2027.
THE CALL: SELL (2/5, LOW) — base-case value ~$2.25 vs ~$4.39 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Q1 revenue $51.683M, +112.9% YoY
- Parent net income $16.247M; diluted EPS $0.10
- Common plus exchangeable shares 381.067M
- Unrestricted cash $54.104M; restricted cash $49.547M
- Bridge $40M due January 31, 2027; substantial doubt not alleviated
- SELL 2/5; base $2.25; weighted $2.425; scenario range $1–$5
What to watch: Committed funding before January 31, 2027, recurring royalty distributions and per-share value preserved through financing.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/uroy-q1-fy2027
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 17, 2026

14 min

Sep 16, 2026

14 min

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) Q4 FY2026 — The saved preliminary after-hours trade was $11.10 at 19:58:09 EDT on September 16, down 17.35% from the $13.43 regular-session close.
Aeluma has cash for development, but its conditional CHIPS proposal involves equity securities equal in value to the award. Commercial demand must still justify the higher spending and ownership claims.
THE CALL: SELL (2/5, LOW) — base-case value ~$7.00 vs ~$11.10 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Q4 revenue $0.582M, down 55.81% YoY
- Q4 GAAP net loss $4.013M; EPS −$0.22
- Q4 non-GAAP net loss $2.705M; adjusted EPS −$0.15
- June 30 cash $56.006M; September 11 basic shares 19.265671M
- FY2026 computed free cash flow −$3.912M
- CHIPS proposal up to $30M; conditional award with equal-value equity
- SELL 2/5; base $7; weighted $7.85; range $2–20
What to watch: Quarterly revenue above $1.5M with recurring commercial contribution, disciplined operating cash use and verified funding/ownership terms.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/almu-q4-fy2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 16, 2026

14 min

Sep 16, 2026

15 min

Lennar Corporation (LEN) Q3 FY2026 — FMP dated after-hours trade $76.74 at September 16, 2026 23:59:38 UTC, −2.07% versus the $78.36 pre-release regular close. The regular-session −2.14% move preceded earnings.
Lennar owns fewer lots and builds homes faster, but cash remains committed to inventory and land deposits. Q3 FY2026 shows why the land-light strategy still needs a cash-conversion recovery.
THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$75.00 vs ~$76.74 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Q3 revenue $8.046B, down 8.7% year over year
- GAAP EPS $1.19; company adjusted EPS $1.23
- Homebuilding cash $1.150B, down $2.291B since fiscal year-end
- Owned inventory increased $1.614B; deposits increased $943.6M since FY2025 end
- FY2026 delivery target 80,000–81,000 versus 82,000–83,000 previously
- HOLD, 3/5 conviction, $75 base and weighted value, High uncertainty
- Central valuation band $65–80; stress scenarios $50–105
What to watch: Watch Q4 deliveries 22,000–23,000 and gross margin 15.5%–16.0%; analyst green checkpoints are homebuilding cash above $2.0B and net debt below $2.5B. A $60 potential entry requires the underlying thesis to remain intact.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/len-q3-fy2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 16, 2026

15 min

Sep 15, 2026

14 min

SEALSQ Corp (LAES) H1 2026 — The September 15 intraday quote was $2.26; this is a dated snapshot, not a closing reaction.
SEALSQ more than doubled first-half revenue, but operating losses and free-cash burn widened. The cash cushion also looks different when F-share economic rights and the complete share count are included.
THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$1.65 vs ~$2.26 today.
KEY METRICS:
- H1 revenue $11.151M, up 131.1% YoY
- Gross profit $5.408M; gross margin 48.5%
- Operating loss $32.162M; consolidated net loss $27.789M
- OCF −$23.731M; FCF −$25.249M
- Net liquid assets $481.033M before burn/commitments
- Model economic shares 231.140922M; net liquid assets/share $2.08
- Mean fair value $1.65; separate probability-weighted value $1.805
What to watch: Commercial post-quantum revenue by year-end, H2 operating cash use at or below $20M, related-party receivables below $14M, and disciplined economic share growth.
Full research packet: https://chargedalpha.com/research/laes-h1-2026
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.

Sep 15, 2026

14 min

Copyright 2026 All rights reserved.

Podcast Powered By Podbean

Version: 20241125